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ECON 159: Game Theory

Lecture 22 - Repeated Games: Cheating, Punishment, and Outsourcing. In business or personal relationships, promises and threats of good and bad behavior tomorrow may provide good incentives for good behavior today, but, to work, these promises and threats must be credible. In particular, they must come from equilibrium behavior tomorrow, and hence form part of a subgame perfect equilibrium today. We find that the grim strategy forms such an equilibrium provided that we are patient and the game has a high probability of continuing. We discuss what this means for the personal relationships of seniors in the class. Then we discuss less draconian punishments, and find there is a trade off between the severity of punishments and the required probability that relationships will endure. We apply this idea to a moral-hazard problem that arises with outsourcing, and find that the high wage premiums found in foreign sectors of emerging markets may be reduced as these relationships become more stable. (from oyc.yale.edu)

Lecture 22 - Repeated Games: Cheating, Punishment, and Outsourcing

Time Lecture Chapters
[00:00:00] 1. Repeated Interaction: The Grim Trigger Strategy in the Prisoner's Dilemma (Cont.)
[00:29:21] 2. The Grim Trigger Strategy: Generalization and Real World Examples
[00:37:56] 3. Cooperation in Repeated Interactions: The "One Period Punishment" Strategy
[00:53:09] 4. Cooperation in Repeated Interactions: Repeated Moral Hazard
[01:13:53] 5. Cooperation in Repeated Interactions: Conclusions

References
Lecture 22 - Repeated Games: Cheating, Punishment, and Outsourcing
Instructor: Professor Ben Polak. Resources: Problem Set 10 [PDF]; Blackboard Notes Lecture 22 [PDF]. Transcript [html]. Audio [mp3]. Download Video [mov].

Go to the Course Home or watch other lectures:

Lecture 01 - Introduction: Five First Lessons
Lecture 02 - Putting Yourselves into Other People's Shoes
Lecture 03 - Iterative Deletion and the Median-Voter Theorem
Lecture 04 - Best Responses in Soccer and Business Partnerships
Lecture 05 - Nash Equilibrium: Bad Fashion and Bank Runs
Lecture 06 - Nash Equilibrium: Dating and Cournot
Lecture 07 - Nash Equilibrium: Shopping, Standing and Voting on a Line
Lecture 08 - Nash Equilibrium: Location, Segregation and Randomization
Lecture 09 - Mixed Strategies in Theory and Tennis
Lecture 10 - Mixed Strategies in Baseball, Dating and Paying Your Taxes
Lecture 11 - Evolutionary Stability: Cooperation, Mutation, and Equilibrium
Lecture 12 - Evolutionary Stability: Social Convention, Aggression, and Cycles
Lecture 13 - Sequential Games: Moral Hazard, Incentives, and Hungry Lions
Lecture 14 - Backward Induction: Commitment, Spies, and First-Mover Advantages
Lecture 15 - Backward Induction: Chess, Strategies, and Credible Threats
Lecture 16 - Backward Induction: Reputation and Duels
Lecture 17 - Backward Induction: Ultimatums and Bargaining
Lecture 18 - Imperfect Information: Information Sets and Sub-Game Perfection
Lecture 19 - Subgame Perfect Equilibrium: Matchmaking and Strategic Investments
Lecture 20 - Subgame Perfect Equilibrium: Wars of Attrition
Lecture 21 - Repeated Games: Cooperation vs. the End Game
Lecture 22 - Repeated Games: Cheating, Punishment, and Outsourcing
Lecture 23 - Asymmetric Information: Silence, Signaling and Suffering Education
Lecture 24 - Asymmetric Information: Auctions and the Winner's Course