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ECON 251: Financial Theory

Lecture 23 - The Mutual Fund Theorem and Covariance Pricing Theorems. This lecture continues the analysis of the Capital Asset Pricing Model, building up to two key results. One, the Mutual Fund Theorem proved by Tobin, describes the optimal portfolios for agents in the economy. It turns out that every investor should try to maximize the Sharpe ratio of his portfolio, and this is achieved by a combination of money in the bank and money invested in the "market" basket of all existing assets. The market basket can be thought of as one giant index fund or mutual fund. This theorem precisely defines optimal diversification. It led to the extraordinary growth of mutual funds like Vanguard. The second key result of CAPM is called the covariance pricing theorem because it shows that the price of an asset should be its discounted expected payoff less a multiple of its covariance with the market. The riskiness of an asset is therefore measured by its covariance with the market, rather than by its variance. We conclude with the shocking answer to a puzzle posed during the first class, about the relative valuations of a large industrial firm and a risky pharmaceutical start-up. (from oyc.yale.edu)

Lecture 23 - The Mutual Fund Theorem and Covariance Pricing Theorems

Time Lecture Chapters
[00:00:00] 1. The Mutual Fund Theorem
[00:03:47] 2. Covariance Pricing Theorem and Diversification
[00:25:19] 3. Deriving Elements of the Capital Asset Pricing Model
[00:40:25] 4. Mutual Fund Theorem in Math and Its Significance
[00:52:36] 5. The Sharpe Ratio and Independent Risks
[01:04:19] 6. Price Dependence on Covariance, Not Variance

References
Lecture 23 - The Mutual Fund Theorem and Covariance Pricing Theorems
Instructor: Professor John Geanakoplos. Transcript [html]. Audio [mp3]. Download Video [mov].

Go to the Course Home or watch other lectures:

Lecture 01 - Why Finance?
Lecture 02 - Utilities, Endowments, and Equilibrium
Lecture 03 - Computing Equilibrium
Lecture 04 - Efficiency, Assets, and Time
Lecture 05 - Present Value Prices and the Real Rate of Interest
Lecture 06 - Irving Fisher's Impatience Theory of Interest
Lecture 07 - Shakespeare's Merchant of Venice and Collateral, Present Value and the Vocabulary of Finance
Lecture 08 - How a Long-Lived Institution Figures an Annual Budget; Yield
Lecture 09 - Yield Curve Arbitrage
Lecture 10 - Dynamic Present Value
Lecture 11 - Social Security
Lecture 12 - Overlapping Generations Models of the Economy
Lecture 13 - Demography and Asset Pricing: Will the Stock Market Decline when the Baby Boomers Retire?
Lecture 14 - Quantifying Uncertainty and Risk
Lecture 15 - Uncertainty and the Rational Expectations Hypothesis
Lecture 16 - Backward Induction and Optimal Stopping Times
Lecture 17 - Callable Bonds and the Mortgage Prepayment Option
Lecture 18 - Modeling Mortgage Prepayments and Valuing Mortgages
Lecture 19 - History of the Mortgage Market: A Personal Narrative
Lecture 20 - Dynamic Hedging
Lecture 21 - Dynamic Hedging and Average Life
Lecture 22 - Risk Aversion and the Capital Asset Pricing Theorem
Lecture 23 - The Mutual Fund Theorem and Covariance Pricing Theorems
Lecture 24 - Risk, Return, and Social Security
Lecture 25 - The Leverage Cycle and the Subprime Mortgage Crisis
Lecture 26 - The Leverage Cycle and Crashes