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ECON 252: Financial Markets

Lecture 25 - Learning from and Responding to Financial Crisis I (Lawrence Summers). Professor Summers, former U. S. Treasury Secretary and former President of Harvard University, in this the first of two lectures in honor of former Yale Professor and Council of Economic Advisors chairman Arthur Okun, offers thoughts on the role of monetary policy in economic fluctuations, past and present. In the "Okun period," ending about when Okun died in 1980, the monetary authorities were very much involved in actually creating economic contractions. Inflation would repeatedly get out of control, the Fed would hit the brakes, and the economy would slow. But, that is not the story of the economic cycles of the last two decades. Recent economic cycles appear to be connected with factors endogenous to the financial system, such as bubbles or cycles of complacency among lending institutions. Summers argues that to understand the financial markets and the economy, we must consider models of multiple equilibria, such as bank run models, where a change in confidence may shift the economy drastically without any change in fundamentals. (from oyc.yale.edu)

Lecture 25 - Learning from and Responding to Financial Crisis I (Lawrence Summers)

Time Lecture Chapters
[00:00:00] 1. A Profile of Lawrence Summers, Memories of Art Okun
[00:12:48] 2. Okun's Concerns on Stable Growth, Inflation, and Cyclical Fluctuations
[00:29:05] 3. The Interconnectedness of Modern Financial Crises Worldwide
[00:40:05] 4. The Bank Run Metaphor in Non-Bank Financial Crises
[00:58:38] 5. Behavioral Finance: Reasons for Positive Feedback
[01:15:37] 6. Summary and Questions on Government Interventions and Moral Hazard

References
Lecture 25 - Learning from and Responding to Financial Crisis I (Lawrence Summers)
Instructor: Professor Robert J. Shiller. Transcript [html]. Audio [mp3]. Download Video [mov].

Go to the Course Home or watch other lectures:

Lecture 01 - Finance and Insurance as Powerful Forces in Our Economy and Society
Lecture 02 - The Universal Principle of Risk Management: Pooling and the Hedging of Risks
Lecture 03 - Technology and Invention in Finance
Lecture 04 - Portfolio Diversification and Supporting Financial Institutions (CAPM Model)
Lecture 05 - Insurance: The Archetypal Risk Management Institution
Lecture 06 - Efficient Markets vs. Excess Volatility
Lecture 07 - Behavioral Finance: The Role of Psychology
Lecture 08 - Human Foibles, Fraud, Manipulation, and Regulation
Lecture 09 - Guest Lecture by David Swensen
Lecture 10 - Debt Markets: Term Structure
Lecture 11 - Stocks
Lecture 12 - Real Estate Finance and its Vulnerability to Crisis
Lecture 13 - Banking: Successes and Failures
Lecture 14 - Guest Lecture by Andrew Redleaf
Lecture 15 - Guest Lecture by Carl Icahn
Lecture 16 - The Evolution and Perfection of Monetary Policy
Lecture 17 - Investment Banking and Secondary Markets
Lecture 18 - Professional Money Managers and Their Influence
Lecture 19 - Brokerage, ECNs, etc.
Lecture 20 - Guest Lecture by Stephen Schwarzman
Lecture 21 - Forwards and Futures
Lecture 22 - Stock Index, Oil and Other Futures Markets
Lecture 23 - Options Markets
Lecture 24 - Making It Work for Real People: The Democratization of Finance
Lecture 25 - Learning from and Responding to Financial Crisis I (Lawrence Summers)
Lecture 26 - Learning from and Responding to Financial Crisis II (Lawrence Summers)